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CONTEST 2018 Blockbuster Box Office Challenge

Discussion in 'Gaming And Competitions' started by DarthSnow, Apr 23, 2018.

  1. DarthSnow

    DarthSnow Lord Commander
    1030th Commander *** (Mod)

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    It's that time of year again... Blockbuster season is upon us!

    Come one and come all, Cantinamigos -- join in on our very own Summer Box Office challenge and show off your prowess at predicting! We are running a contest to see who is best at gauging the smash hits and the flimsy flops coming out of Hollywood this year.

    A one-time buy in of only 50 credits gains you unlimited access to a summer full of potential winnings!
    (transfer your credits to @Wuher with a note of "2018 Box Office")

    Winners will be announced on a monthly basis, and we will have one GRAND PRIZE winner at the end of the summer.

    We will also do special giveaways for those who take part in predicting some of this year's biggest movies: Avengers: Infinity War, Solo: A Star Wars Story, and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, to name a few.

    As of this time prizes will only be Cantina-based (credits, trophies, etc) but we are seeing what we can do to round up a few REAL prizes as well. :)

    The Rules
    • Each week, movies will be selected for players to guess what their opening take will be in the box office. (See the Release List posted below; any updates / changes will be posted in the thread, as well as changed here)
    • Post your predictions for each movies' domestic (United States) opening weekend in US $. See the screen cap below for reference.
    • All predictions should be submitted before that movie opens (Wednesday night is suggested, Friday morning at latest).
    • We'll be using the "Price is Right" rules; closest prediction without going over will be the winner. (Yes, $1 is an acceptable guess... and in the even of everyone else going over, a winning guess!).
    • Do not post the same prediction as someone else; if you see someone else has predicted $54 million for Solo, do not post $54 million again.
    • We will be using US domestic figures only, not global or international. (if there is enough interest in adding / including a foreign section as well, we can discuss this possibility)
    • The number we will be using as a final result can be found here on Box Office Mojo:
    BoxOff-00.PNG
    Star Wars The Last Jedi, domestic opening weekend: $220,009,584

    Check back later for any updates to rules and scoring. Things may change as we see what works, and what doesn't.

    Join any time. Whether you plan on using the force, a TARDIS, or have the audacity to drive at 88mph to gaze into the future, keep in mind that it is always in motion and subject change. And the more often you play, the more chances you have to win!

    May the force be with you.

    Scoring:
    • 1st closest: 15 points
    • 2nd closest: 10 points
    • 3rd closest: 5 points
    Leaderboard:
    @Lock_S_Foils - 320
    @Rogues1138 - 210
    @FN-3263827 - 205
    @Pawek_13 - 190
    @Ridcully - 145
    @DarthSnow - 130
    @NinjaRen - 125
    @RockyRoadHux - 115
    @Maximus - 100
    @Addi Ras - 85
    @Lazarus Dei - 80
    @Bluemilk - 40
    @oldbert - 40
    @Anubis78 - 30


    Movie Release List:

    April:


    27th

    • Avengers: Infinity War - $ 257,698,183

    May:

    4th

    • Bad Samaritan - $ 1,726,868
    • Overboard - $ 14,711,101
    • Tully - $ 3,282,610

    11th
    • Life of the Party - $ 17,886,075
    • Breaking In - $ 17,630,285
    18th
    • Deadpool 2 - $ 125,507,153
    • Book Club - $ 13,582,231
    • Show Dogs - $ 6,023,972
    25th
    • Solo: A Star Wars Story - $ 84,420,489
    June:

    1st
    • Action Point - $ 2,390,164
    • Adrift - $ 11,603,039
    • Upgrade - $ 4,670,905
    15th
    • Incredibles 2 - $ 182,687,905
    • Tag - $ 14,947,396
    22nd
    • Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $ 148,024,610
    29th
    • Sicario 2: Day of the Soldado - $ 19,007,566
    • Uncle Drew - $ 15,242,781
    July:

    4th - 6th

    • The First Purge - $ 17,374,280
    • Ant Man and the Wasp - $ 75,812,205
    13th
    • Hotel Transylvania 3 - $ 44,076,225
    • Skyscraper - $ 24,905,015
    • Sorry to Bother You - $ 4,208,881
    20th
    • The Equalizer 2 - $ 36,011,640
    • Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - $ 34,952,180
    • Unfriended: Dark Web - $ 3,653,035
    27th
    • Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $ 61,236,534
    • Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - $ 10,411,189

    August


    3rd
    • Christopher Robin - $ 24,585,139
    • The Spy Who Dumped Me - $ 12,103,043
    • Darkest Minds - $ 5,842,609
    10th
    • The Meg - $ 45,402,195
      • Slender Man - $ 11,371,866
      • Dog Days - $ 2,554,766

    17th

    • Crazy Rich Asians - $ 26,510,140
    • Mile 22 - $ 13,710,825
    • Alpha - $ 10,352,512
    24th
    • The Happytime Murders - $ 9,532,425
    • A.X.L. - $ 2,798,229
    September
    7th

    • The Nun - $ 53,807,379
    • Peppermint - $ 13,423,255
    14th
    • The Predator - $ 24,632,284
    • A Simple Favor - $ 16,011,689
    • White Boy Rick - $ 8,860,431
    21st
    • Fahrenheit 11/9 (limited) - $ 3,008,563
    • The House with a Clock in its Walls - $ 26,608,020
    • Life Itself - $ 2,123,463
    28th
    • Hell Fest
    • Night School
    • Smallfoot
    October
    5th

    • Venom
    • A Star is Born
    12th
    • Bad Times at the El Royale
    • First Man
    • Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween
    19th
    • Halloween (2018)
    • The Hate U Give
    • Serenity
    26th
    • Hunter Killer
    • Johnny English Strikes Again
    November
    2nd
    • Bohemian Rhapsody
    • Nobody's Fool
    • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
    9th
    • Dr. Seuss' The Grinch
    • The Girl in the Spider's Web
    • Overlord
    16th
    • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
    • Instant Family
    • Widows
    21st - Wednesday (Thanksgiving week)
    • Creed 2
    • Green Book
    • Wreck it Ralph 2: Ralph Breaks the Internet
    • Robin Hood
    December
    7th
    • Schindler's List (re-release)
    • The Silence
    14th
    • Mortal Engines
    • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse (animated)
    21st
    • Mary Poppins Returns (Wed Dec. 19th)
    • Alita: Battle Angel
    • Aquaman
    • Bumblebee
    • Holmes and Watson



    Please let me know if there is one that you would like added or removed from this list via direct message. All requests must be made at least 10 days prior to opening weekend, so that everyone has a chance to vote.
     
    #1 DarthSnow, Apr 23, 2018
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2018
    • Great Post Great Post x 5
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  2. Lock_S_Foils

    Lock_S_Foils Jedi General

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    Cool....I’m in.....xferring creds now
     
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  3. Pawek_13

    Pawek_13 Jedi General

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    [​IMG]
     
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  4. Lock_S_Foils

    Lock_S_Foils Jedi General

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    Hey @DarthSnow does the weekend include any attached holiday I.e. SOLO and Memorial Day?
    --- Double Post Merged, Apr 24, 2018, Original Post Date: Apr 24, 2018 ---
    Ok....a little research into Boxoffice mojo and The Avengers/TFA.....

    The first official guess is mine.....

    I predict Infinity War’s opening weekend will be $251 million setting a new record
     
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  5. Lock_S_Foils

    Lock_S_Foils Jedi General

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    [oh by the way recent reports are that Infinity War has demolished presale tickets, already selling $50 million.....currently 3rd behind TFA and TLJ in presale ticket #'s....]
     
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  6. Rogues1138

    Rogues1138 Jedi General

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    yup, I'm in...

    Avengers:IW 213m opening weekend
     
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  7. Maximus

    Maximus Jedi General

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    Oooo! i'm in @DarthSnow :)

    Avengers: Infinity War = $205m
     
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  8. Addi Ras

    Addi Ras Jedi General
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    I’m in @DarthSnow

    Avengers Infinity War $248M Opening Weekend.
     
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  9. FN-3263827

    FN-3263827 First Order, Then Pie
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    $223 Infinity War (there and beyooooooond!) : D @DarthSnow
     
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  10. Maximus

    Maximus Jedi General

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    ah crud, you're all going high... any chance that my friends state side could delay seeing it for a few days? :D
     
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  11. Pawek_13

    Pawek_13 Jedi General

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    Time for the prediction - $220 million for Avengers: Infinity War.
     
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  12. DarthSnow

    DarthSnow Lord Commander
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    That's a question I don't currently have the answer to. I'll look into Box Office Mojo and see how they handle that. Basically, you're asking if that holiday (Monday after release) is included in Opening Weekend, correct?

    Good to see everyone else jumping in on the action, be sure to spread the word!!
     
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  13. Lock_S_Foils

    Lock_S_Foils Jedi General

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    Yes sir that is my question....thanks!!
     
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  14. Lock_S_Foils

    Lock_S_Foils Jedi General

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  15. Lazarus Dei

    Lazarus Dei Tree Dodger Extraordinaire
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    @DarthSnow... what's with this 'domestic' rubbish - we demand Worldwide! :D
     
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  16. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
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    Oh how I missed this game. I'm in.
    Avengers: Infinity War
    $240m
     
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  17. Maximus

    Maximus Jedi General

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    I quoted you mate because I planned to crush your hopes with a clever and pithy comeback explaining why my low wager is better.

    I got nuthin
     
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  18. Lazarus Dei

    Lazarus Dei Tree Dodger Extraordinaire
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    I can see there will be no concession on this... so i will have to accept it, much like the so-called 'World Series' which perpetuates a common myth that the world only exists as far as the US territorial waters... :rolleyes:

    That aside, I am now in (like Flint) for $244m

    [​IMG]
     
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  19. DarthSnow

    DarthSnow Lord Commander
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    maybe giving all the other players key information isn't necessarily the best strategy.... this is a competition after all! :D

    See, I covered myself, right there in the rules... :D

    Really the biggest reason I was avoiding it was because I was under the impression it wasn't so cut and dry in reporting the numbers.. (apologies, I'm fairly new to box office tracking ) .. I did a little more research into Box Office Mojo and it looks like we can pull that off.

    So, we have options. I don't necessarily want to get in the business of guessing country by country, but we can do this a couple different ways:
    • Guess Domestic only (current/previous format)
    • Guess Domestic and Guess Foreign, separate (Foreign = all countries not named USA)
    • Guess Domestic and Foreign combined
    • Guess Domestic and Guess 1 Other Country of Choice, separate (being the most popular non-USA country... the UK?)
    • Other / something I'm missing?
    I'm trying not to over-complicate it, or discriminate in any way. I'll leave it all up to you guys to decide, I'll create a poll up top with these options for us to vote on. For this first week, we'll stick to Domestic only. If anything, if you decide to add a foreign guess, we'll consider it a trial run for the first week.

    Thoughts? Gripes? Concerns? Thumbs up?
     
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  20. Maximus

    Maximus Jedi General

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    wonder if i'll be the furthest away on this wager?
    i've got no lunch today, and i'm not over eager on that off-orange color you used in your post :p
    *see 'thoughts' above
    for current format? of course !
    [​IMG]
     
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