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Early Tracking For Star Wars: The Last Jedi Puts Sequel At $215M Opening Weekend

Discussion in 'Star Wars: The Last Jedi' started by SWNN Probe, Oct 21, 2017.

  1. SWNN Probe

    SWNN Probe Seeker

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    [​IMG]

    Star Wars Episode VIII: The Last Jedi is looking at an absolutely massive opening weekend based on early tracking, with the second-best opening in the franchise's history more or less in the bag.





    (Full disclosure - parts of this article have been lifted from an article that I wrote on this very subject for Heroic Hollywood. However, I'd like to go a little more in-depth here.)



    According to BoxOffice.com, early estimates for the eighth installment of the Star Wars series could clock in at an incredible $215M. An opening of that size would be just ahead of the unexpectedly-large $208.8 million haul that Jurassic World took back in Summer 2015 and would make the Star Wars movie the fourth movie in history to open above $200M in a mere three days. The Force Awakens will likely retain its status as the highest-grossing Star Wars movie stateside, as that picture opened to $247.9M. Should it meet this milestone or exceed it, the top five biggest opening weekends of all time in the United States and Canada will be as follows:
    • Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $247.9M.
    • Star Wars: The Last Jedi - $215M.
    • Jurassic World - $208.8M.
    • The Avengers - $207.4M.
    • Avengers: Age of Ultron - $191.2M.
    [​IMG]

    As for the movie's legs at the box office, they're looking to be nearly as impressive as those for The Force Awakens, which ended its American/Canadian run at an awe-inspiring $936.6M - 3.77 times as much as what the movie made on opening weekend. The same report suggests that The Last Jedi could end its theatrical run at $742M, which is another great multiplier at 3.45 times what the movie hypothetically makes opening weekend. When all is said and done, according to this scenario, the top five movies at the domestic box office will look something like this:
    • Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $936.6M.
    • Avatar - $760.5M.
    • Star Wars: The Last Jedi - $742M.
    • Titanic - $658.6M.
    • Jurassic World - $652.2M.
    It should still be noted that this is an early estimate, as pre-release numbers could increase or decrease depending on how audience interest changes as the film gets closer to hitting the silver screen. For now, an estimate of a $200M+ weekend is fairly realistic, and it will be very interesting to see what kind of legs the movie has following the opening weekend. As for the estimates of how the film will do internationally, that appears to be a good question for another time - but given that Disney's spent upwards of $200M on this movie, even a $600M+ domestic haul would likely be seen as a big win by the studio.



    Click HERE to check out and comment on this topic on our main site
     
    #1 SWNN Probe, Oct 21, 2017
    Last edited: Oct 27, 2017
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  2. Pomojema

    Pomojema Ayatollah Of Rock-&-Rolla
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    Disney in less than two months:

     
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  3. ChrisI

    ChrisI Force Sensitive

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    Well, I’ll do my part to help reach that total!
     
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  4. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    lol and it's already made its money back by then for TLJ
    --- Double Post Merged, Oct 21, 2017, Original Post Date: Oct 21, 2017 ---
    I COULDNT HELP WATCHING THAT ALL THE WAY THROUGH.
     
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  5. Pomojema

    Pomojema Ayatollah Of Rock-&-Rolla
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    why are you shouting lol
     
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  6. Ammianus Marcellinus

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    Seems they are not taking into account the European projections. Everything is sold out already on the first day in the Netherlands, that was definitely not the case with TFA or RO. Star Wars has gotten increased exposure and consequently popularity in Europe (and South and Central America). TLJ might be the highest global grossing movie ever.
     
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  7. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    i dont have a quiet voice.
     
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  8. Josh

    Josh Rebel Official

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    boxofficemojo deleted it.
     
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  9. fifaoriginobriga

    fifaoriginobriga Rebelscum

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    Don't be so sure about South America.Rogue One perfomance here was at best underwhelming, and TFA even being really good was not as big as in the rest of the world.
    Links to explain what I'm saying:
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=starwars7.htm
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=starwars2016.htm
    And if you look closer at the 2 bigger markets (Brazil & Argentina) RO was only the 14th top grossing movie of the year in Brazil and 18th in Argentina. And even TFA was only 6th in Brazil and 7th in Argentina, in 2015.
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/argentina/yearly/?yr=2015&p=.htm
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/argentina/yearly/?yr=2016&p=.htm
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/brazil/yearly/?yr=2015&p=.htm
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/brazil/yearly/?yr=2016&p=.htm
    I think that more than a simple fact of brute numbers, it's important to notice how many more other movies attract more attention than the Star Wars movies around here. And now entering in a more personal vision, I'm not feeling a big buzz about The Last Jedi around here either. I hope I'm wrong.

    And sorry for my bad English.It's the first time that I write a post so long like this in my life, so I'm sorry for any mistakes.
     
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  10. Addi Ras

    Addi Ras MASTER TEA MAKER
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    Your post was fine & makes interesting reading.
    On a positive note this gives TLJ room to improve its South American takings over TFA
     
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  11. Grand Master Galen Marek

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    Wow they're confident.
     
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  12. Bluemilk

    Bluemilk I AM the Senate

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    counting-money.gif
     
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  13. AlienofDoom

    AlienofDoom Rebel General

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    Nope, the article's still there, somehow the specific link used just went bad.
     
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  14. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    I think they will hit a billion before new years.
     
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