1. Due to the increased amount of spam bots on the forum, we are strengthening our defenses. You may experience a CAPTCHA challenge from time to time.
    Dismiss Notice
  2. Notification emails are working properly again. Please check your email spam folder and if you see any emails from the Cantina there, make sure to mark them as "Not Spam". This will help a lot to whitelist the emails and to stop them going to spam.
    Dismiss Notice
  3. IMPORTANT! To be able to create new threads and rate posts, you need to have at least 30 posts in The Cantina.
    Dismiss Notice
  4. Before posting a new thread, check the list with similar threads that will appear when you start typing the thread's title.
    Dismiss Notice

EVENT Summer 2016 Box Office Predictions

Discussion in 'Gambling' started by Darth Lexor Kai, Jun 8, 2016.

?

Should we play with Price is Right Rules? (See Below for details)

Poll closed Jun 15, 2016.
  1. yes

    4 vote(s)
    80.0%
  2. no

    1 vote(s)
    20.0%
  1. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    The Summer is here, and that means it's blockbuster time yet again!

    Listen up Cantina Patrons. This is your chance to show off your skills! The best part is, there is no buy-in for this game. Join any time. So weather you plan on using the force, a time Turner, or had the audacity to drive at 88mph to gaze into the future, keep in mind that it is always in motion and subject change. A special prize (to be announced once we decide what the prize will be) will be awarded to the Cantina user with the highest score at the end of the Summer (Sep is the last month in our game)

    May the force be with you.

    All you have to do is give us your box office predictions in USD (U.S. money). For the purposes of this game, we will using the number in the picture below from Box Office Mojo. Please vote on whether or not we should use Price is Right Rules. The poll will end in 7 days.

    Capture.PNG

    For those who do not know what price is right rules are, it simply means that the person who gets the closest to the actual figure, WITHOUT going over will be declared the winner. Even if that person states the lowest possible figure which will be set at $1.

    Rules:
    1. You can submit your best prediction as early in advance as you wish.
    2. No changing your answer without a moderator approval. (we can see whenever you modify a post. And also see the history)
    3. Your guess should be submitted before the beginning of the opening weekend. (Thursday at the latest)
    4. No 2 answers should be the same. If you see someone has already predicted that Warcraft for instance, will get $35mil you may not put the same answer. However, you Can say $35,000,001
    5. Anyone can join the bidding at any time. (unless you have been prohibited from playing in the Casino Cantina)
    6. All predictions should be in USD.
    7. We will be using US Domestic numbers and not international figures
    8. Limit conversation in the thread, to help it from becoming cluttered.
    9. No acronyms will be accepted. If you want credit, spell it out. I don't want to accidentally make a mistake of misreading your prediction.
    10. All bets must be in by Friday, September 30th.

    Check back later for an updated rule list. Things may change as we see what works, and what doesn't.

    How to win
    1st place: 15 points.
    2nd place: 10 points.
    3rd place: 5 points.

    Points will be awarded for each prediction closest to the weekend box office report. Meaning, you could potentially win 45 points (or more) each week. Hopefully with a point system like this, it won't be impossible to catch up if you fall behind.


    LeaderBoards:

    @Rebo ..............................................170
    @Darth Lexor Kai ............................75
    @Darth Snow ....................................60
    @Jedi MD .........................................45
    @AstromechRecords ........................30
    @Paulo Henrique ............................25
    @Mad As A Hatter 1313 ..................20




    June

    10th
    • The conjuring 2
    • Now You See Me 2
    • Warcraft

    17th
    • Central Intelligence
    • Finding Dory

    24th
    • Free State of Jones
    • Independence Day: Resurgence
    • The Neon Demon

    July

    1st
    • The BFG
    • The Legend of Tarzan
    • The Purge: Election Year
    • The Shallows

    8th
    • Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates
    • The Secret Life of Pets

    15th
    • Ghostbusters
    • The Infiltrator

    22nd
    • Ice Age: Collision Course
    • Lights Out
    • Star Trek Beyond

    29th
    • Bad Moms
    • Jason Borne
    • Nerve

    August

    5th
    • The Founder
    • Nine Lives
    • Suicide Squad

    12th
    • Florence Foster Jenkins
    • Pete's Dragon
    • Sausage Party
    • Spectral

    19th
    • Ben-Hur (WHY GOD WHY???)
    • Kubo and the Two Strings
    • The Space Between Us
    • War Dogs

    26th
    • Don't Breathe
    • Hands of Stone
    • Resurrection

    September

    2nd
    • The Lights Between Oceans
    • Morgan
    • Solace

    9th
    • Before I wake
    • Sully
    • When the Bough Breaks
    • The wild life

    16th
    • Bridge Jones's Baby
    • Snowden
    • The Woods

    23rd
    • The Magnificent Seven
    • Storks

    30th
    • Deepwater Horizon
    • The Edge of Seventeen
    • Masterminds
    • Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children



    Please let me know if there is one that you would like added or removed from this list via direct message. All requests must be made at least 10 days prior to opening weekend, so that everyone has a chance to vote.
     
    #1 Darth Lexor Kai, Jun 8, 2016
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2016
    • Like Like x 2
  2. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    I'm more confident in Finding Dory making $1.3 Billion worldwide with $751 Million US & ID4 (2) flopping by making roughly $355 Million US & Suicide quad grossing $655 Million US
    .
     
  3. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    If you are playing the game please state your answers more clearly.

    For example

    Finding Dory: 750 mil
    Suicide squad: $655mil

    Also, we are only talking opening weekend. Friday, Saturday, Sunday. So you might want to try agian . :)

    If your not playing, please limit conversation in this tread. It makes it easier on me when I go counting up the points for everyone.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  4. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    Oh oops:

    So Finding Dory: 750Mil --- Breakdown opening weekend: Friday - 91Mil/Saturday - 75Mil/Sunday - $35Mil
    Suicide Squad: 655Mil --- Breakdown opening weekend: Friday - 135Mil/Saturday - 95Mil/Sunday - 50Mil

    Let me know if there's anything about that I need to edit :)
     
    • Like Like x 2
  5. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2014
    Posts:
    2,500
    Likes Received:
    4,603
    Trophy Points:
    14,747
    Credits:
    6,145
    Ratings:
    +7,330 / 99 / -40
    Ooohhh...this looks like fun.
    Is the intent to do this on a weekly basis or 2 movies for the whole summer?

    I read it as pick two each week. But @AstromechRecords picked two for the entire summer. Just trying to make sure I have it down.
     
    • Like Like x 3
  6. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    pick 2 for each week. you can play ahead of schedule if you like.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    • Informative Informative x 1
  7. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2014
    Posts:
    2,500
    Likes Received:
    4,603
    Trophy Points:
    14,747
    Credits:
    6,145
    Ratings:
    +7,330 / 99 / -40
    Ok, I'll kick this off for week 1.

    The Conjuring 2: $39m
    Warcraft: $27m
    Now you See Me 2: $24m
     
    #7 Rebo, Jun 8, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2016
    • Like Like x 2
  8. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    Now you see me 2- $34mil
    Warcraft- $15 mil
    Conjuring 2 - $5mil

    :) Good luck everyone.
     
    #8 Darth Lexor Kai, Jun 8, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2016
    • Like Like x 2
  9. Paulo Henrique

    Paulo Henrique Rebel General

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2014
    Posts:
    496
    Likes Received:
    759
    Trophy Points:
    4,687
    Credits:
    1,517
    Ratings:
    +1,389 / 18 / -5
    The Conjuring 2- $36 mil
    Now you see me 2- $24 mil
    Warcraft - $22 mil
     
    • Like Like x 3
  10. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    Let's make it 3.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  11. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2014
    Posts:
    2,500
    Likes Received:
    4,603
    Trophy Points:
    14,747
    Credits:
    6,145
    Ratings:
    +7,330 / 99 / -40
    Ok,updated to include all 3.
     
    • Like Like x 2
  12. Mad As A Hatter 1313

    Mad As A Hatter 1313 Rebel General

    Joined:
    Nov 5, 2014
    Posts:
    513
    Likes Received:
    910
    Trophy Points:
    4,252
    Credits:
    2,403
    Ratings:
    +1,699 / 98 / -14
    Now you see me 2- $20 million
    Warcraft- $40 million
    Conjuring 2 - $15 million
     
    • Like Like x 1
  13. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    Week One Results:

    The Conjuring 2: 40.3 mil
    Warcraft: 24.3 mil
    Now You See Me 2: 23 mil

    Winners using the Price is Right rules..

    The Conjuring 2
    1. @Rebo for 39 mil
    2. @Paulo Henrique 36 mil
    3. @Mad As A Hatter 1313

    Warcraft
    1. @Paulo Henrique 22mil
    2. @Darth Lexor Kai
    3. No winner (everyone else went over)


    Now You See Me 2
    1. @Mad As A Hatter 1313 for 20 mil
    2. No winner (everyone else went over)
    3. No winner (everyone else went over)

    Points awarded:

    @Paulo Henrique 25
    @Mad As A Hatter 1313 20
    @Rebo 15
    @Darth Lexor Kai 10
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Funny Funny x 1
  14. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    • Free State of Jones - $35M opening day, hold steady at around $31M on Saturday, & drop to around $25M on Sunday.
    • Independence Day: Resurgence - $75M opening day, dropping to around $45m on Saturday, & around $35M by Sunday.
    • Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - $25M opening day, dropping to around $19M on Saturday, & holding steady around $17M by Sunday
    .
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
  15. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    dude, just add everything up to one nice round number like everyone else. lol. Don't make it hard for me to add up the scores at the beginning of the week.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  16. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    Free State of Jones - $91M

    Independence Day: Resurgence - $155M

    Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - $61M
     
    • Like Like x 1
  17. Paulo Henrique

    Paulo Henrique Rebel General

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2014
    Posts:
    496
    Likes Received:
    759
    Trophy Points:
    4,687
    Credits:
    1,517
    Ratings:
    +1,389 / 18 / -5
    My bet for this week:

    Central Intelligence - $15 M
    Finding Dory - $137 M
     
    • Like Like x 1
  18. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    With that kind of star power, CI should easily stand to make double or triple that at roughly $37M .
     
  19. Darth Lexor Kai

    Darth Lexor Kai General of the Future Folk

    Joined:
    Dec 21, 2014
    Posts:
    2,340
    Likes Received:
    4,441
    Trophy Points:
    13,852
    Credits:
    9,075
    Ratings:
    +6,077 / 33 / -8
    This week is a tough one. School kids are gonna be out on the town to see Finding Dory.

    • Central Intelligence- 25mil
    • Finding Dory- 102mil
     
  20. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2015
    Posts:
    16,794
    Likes Received:
    15,181
    Trophy Points:
    149,777
    Credits:
    20,163
    Ratings:
    +26,536 / 845 / -253
    Don't you think that Dory seems a bit low for an estimate? I'd hedge my bets that it will make around $175M opening weekend. It looks to be like another Toy Story 3
    .
     
Loading...

Share This Page