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OFFICIAL NEWS A Lasting Record Of TFA's Financial Performance.

Discussion in 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' started by Pomojema, Dec 14, 2015.

  1. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
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    The big issue from here on out is going to be Deadpool. Its tracking well, getting good buzz, and competing for a similar audience (assuming that its the core Star Wars fans keeping it chugging along at this point, and that families have mostly moved on already).

    If Deadpool is a big hit, it may take the remaining geek wind out of the sails. If it isn't, then Star Wars may keep on chugging along for a few more weeks.
     
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  2. Greg Kirby

    Greg Kirby Rebel Official

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    well folks TFA hits...
    Worldwide: $2,008,361,469
    Isn't that now past Avatars 2.8 billion?
     
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  3. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
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    Nope. Avatar has 2.787. TFA as 2.008

    Another 800 million to go or so. So about 2 solid summer blockbusters between TFA and #1.
     
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  4. LadyMusashi

    LadyMusashi Archwizard Woo-Woo-in-Chief
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    The reactions I am hearing are ALL super-positive. That was even the prediction before TFA premiered - that Deadpool, if good, will stop it.

    If you are serious, no, it's 700+ million behind.
     
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  5. Rebo

    Rebo Nearsighted Whill Guardian
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    Honestly, I'm rooting for Deadpool. It looks good and TFA has no shot at catching Titanic or Avatar. So, I hope Deadpool is a huge success, even if it knocks TFA out of the theaters.
     
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  6. Old Biff from the Future

    Old Biff from the Future Dune Sea Hermit

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    [​IMG] .
     
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  7. Old Biff from the Future

    Old Biff from the Future Dune Sea Hermit

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    It had more than one run at the box office
    12/18/2009 Avatar $749,766,139
    08/27/2010 Avatar: Special Edition $10,741,486


    I would put any amount of WATO's republic credits that a RE-RELEASE of a TFA Special Edition would make a little more than 100 million WW.

    Who knows what the WW numbers added to the SE of the 2.78 million ACTUAL (why round up, lol) WW take.

    The SEVENTH STAR WARS film isn't all that far off.....

    taking BOW, lol
     
    #547 Old Biff from the Future, Feb 7, 2016
    Last edited: Feb 7, 2016
  8. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    It would be logical for LFL do re release it like they did with ANH in 1978 with it being released in like Devember 2016 with a few added scenes if they are able to change JJ's mind .
     
  9. Jedi MD

    Jedi MD Jedi Commander

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    I just don't see TFA getting rereleased. If there were a few years between TFA and VIII and no ther SW movies then I can see it. However, VIII is only 2 short years away. This year we get Rogue One. That's a lot is SW. If you factor in all the other movies Disney will be promoting over this time, I'll be surprised if TFA gets released again.
     
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  10. Pomojema

    Pomojema Ayatollah Of Rock-&-Rolla
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    With numbers like that (it seems to still be making about $7 million a week domestically), I get the distinct feeling that TFA ought to keep playing in certain theaters for a while longer. Nowhere near as long as Titanic or Avatar, but I suspect it'll still be in a few dozen theaters by the time it's put on Blu-Ray/DVD.

    I could see Disney re-releasing SWTFA and E8 before E9 comes out. It's not super likely, but it's possible. At the very least, there ought to be marathons involving the Sequel Trilogy.
     
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  11. Old Biff from the Future

    Old Biff from the Future Dune Sea Hermit

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    DAT TFA hold....(duel)


    #3 this weekend

    Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Feb. 5 - Sun, Feb. 7

    Wide (1000+)
    # Title weekend Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.
    1 Kung Fu Panda 3 $21,242,181 -49% 3,987 32 $5,328 $69,293,138 2 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
    2 Hail, Caesar! $11,355,225 -- 2,232 -- $5,087 $11,355,225 1 Universal
    3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens $6,973,316 -37% 2,262 -294 $3,083 $906,044,785 8 Disney
    4 The Revenant (2015) $6,939,795 -46% 3,018 -312 $2,299 $149,543,198 7 Fox
    5 The Choice $6,050,443 -- 2,631 -- $2,300 $6,050,443 1 Lionsgate
    source. Boxoffice.com

    Total Domestic Gross: $906,044,785 | Worldwide Gross: $2,008,444,785
     
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  12. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    They did it for ANH even though ESB was "two short years" away even though it was done because of the new subtitles that was also having The Holiday Special *cringes* in ebtween as well .
     
  13. Darth Daigo

    Darth Daigo Rebel Official

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    The main difference is that nearly everyone now will have access to TFA through streaming, purchasing DVD, or other means. Back then, for most people, you had to watch the movie in the cinema or you had to wait until it was shown on TV. Re-releasing TFA in the cinema will add some money to the box office, but not that much and definitely not enough to catch Avatar.
     
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  14. Pomojema

    Pomojema Ayatollah Of Rock-&-Rolla
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    Every time you say that, I can't help but think of this:

     
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  15. AstromechRecords

    AstromechRecords Jedi General

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    I think if Avatar did it then LFL is capable of it IF they were to add extra scenes/finish ones that were cut but I also am now doubting it would happen and it would probably give YFA a few hundred million at most ...
     
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  16. Veradun

    Veradun Clone Commander

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    Analysis of domestic week seven (January 29-February 4):

    TFA posted a 14.4 million week, third most for a seventh week in movie history, behind Avatar and Titanic. It had week to day drops between 4 and 41 percent ; it did not obtain any daily records. Overall weekly drop was 27.3 percent, with strong weekend hold. TFA finished the week at 899 million, hitting 900 million the next day (50th day of release).

    The seventh week saw TFA showing in 2556 theater screens; it is down to 2,262 screens in week eight. Over the last few weeks, it's trajectory has modeled the first Avengers movie most closely. This could always change.

    Because the DVD/Blu-ray is allegedly coming out on April 5 (Amazon just removed this release date from their page), I am projecting that TFA will leave the theaters just before that time. The fifteenth week ends on March 31, so that is my current projected end date.

    Future projection, revised to include this week's results and assuming TFA is in theaters until March 31:

    CURRENT TRAJECTORY: If TFA stays at a 30% week to day drop, it will hit $920 million domestic in week ten and finish somewhere around $930 million.
    If TFA goes to a 40% week to day drop, it will hit $915-916 million domestic in week ten and finish somewhere around $920 million.
    If TFA goes to a 50% week to day drop, it will finish around $913.5 million.

    if it goes to an Avatar/Titanic trajectory and starts showing stronger legs, then this could happen:

    If TFA goes to a 10% week to day drop, it will hit $930 million somewhere near week ten, and finish around $970-975 million.
    If TFA goes to a 20% week to day drop, it will finish somewhere around $945 million.
     
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  17. Mudbone

    Mudbone Rebel General

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    Wonder how long before the movie is removed from cinemas. I had seen this movie once, opening day. No good reason why I hadn't seen it more than once other than being lazy (after all I plan to buy the blu-ray). Maybe this weekend, I'll see it again.
     
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  18. Grand Master Galen Marek

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    Another 2 days to go in my area before it is removed.
     
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  19. Greg Kirby

    Greg Kirby Rebel Official

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    ya I realized now I miss added... hahaha
    --- Double Post Merged, Feb 9, 2016, Original Post Date: Feb 9, 2016 ---
    It will hit $1 billion, its only at day 53. Movies like the Martian is at day 130 and still making some money. And its only at like 170 theaters making around 10k a day and about 30-40k on weekends.
    --- Double Post Merged, Feb 9, 2016 ---
    Well The Martian is at day 130, Hunger games is at day 81, so ya well TFA is at day 53... Block busters will stay in theaters for awhile milking as much as they can.
     
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  20. Veradun

    Veradun Clone Commander

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    I wish I could share your optimism. The Martian has made 228.1 million as of Day 130; it was at 213.6 million as of Day 53. That means it made 6.3% of it's gross between Day 53 and Day 130. If it can sustain 10k a day and 30-40k on weekends, it will need to stay another six plus weeks in the theaters to make another million dollars.

    TFA is at 906.7 million at Day 53. If it did 6.3% of it's gross between Day 54 and Day 130, it would be somewhere around 960 million with no realistic chance of making 1 billion. TFA will need to do about 10 percent of its gross from Day 54 until end to hit 1 billion. Theoretically possible? Yes. Statistically likely? No.
     
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